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For the third year, although quite late, I propose the exercise of sleight mental is to guess some words that will set the course for the year and nearly two months ago began. First of all, I would note that Movilnet was talking about past years and has trade name, is called tablet and has been Apple who has redesigned the concept with iPad (a hit beyond of the company's own forecasts.) The forecast of the demise of the book take to get there, but less than I expected it, as the pace of selling ebooks has accelerated dramatically over 2010, being expected that the impact on the sale of books paper begins to be felt throughout 2011. And if publishers do not go around risk agile camp on the same mistake as the music publishers, overcome by a technology in which the absence of a solvent supply and cost, it always appears lawless and free bidding.
correct also in the use of weak string of words (or weak) recovery as the economy is concerned.
In view of this 2011, I really do not see it as clear as in previous years. I think we will hear many times the word failure associated with Sinde Act. When the legal market does not conform to the requirements of the application, I get a black market that solves it. And on the Internet, the emergence of these markets is much simpler than the old analog world. It is surprising that the less successful business models like iTunes or Netflix Spotify have not resulted in a change of opinion in the English content companies and the mafia and obsolete rights management entities. It is clear that we will hear much about these issues.
in 2010 exploited the social networks, specifically Facebook and Twitter. And it became clear that not all social work. Quran is the example. End up failing before the rest. Offers nothing that can not be obtained in more traditional networks, on Wikipedia or search engines themselves, and instead requires a minimum critical mass experts to respond to questions with a minimum quality and clarity.
The explosion of broadband services to target mobile terminals (mainly smartphones) has begun to unleash a threat of war between phone operators and content providers for those services, like Apple, Google or Yahoo. Possibly, after the first skirmishes do not get blood to the river, as this mighty river is coming down to fish and all little enough to agree. A lack of affordable
disruptors on the horizon, I think the news will reach the hands of the elements we already have at home. I turned on the television center communications from home, or the computers turned into television occupying the room of the house and with dumb terminals in the other rooms. Another possible receptor
revolutions are new consoles. Nintendo has given out a career in 3D, surely the rest of the competitors will follow in 3D TVs Park reaches a minimum size.
In the area of \u200b\u200bthe English economy, the predicted words are the words "new business" and, again, stop, end of the year but is likely to begin the latter for employment (although this is more a wish a prediction).

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Words Can you prejudice? Superfreakonomics

Photo taken from The Country

In these days when the Arab world goes deep in a revolution contagious, I have read and heard many comments that warned of the danger of a return nut to radical Islam. The explanation would be given to an inability of Arab societies, underdeveloped and dysfunctional to result in true democracies. In addition, we take for logical that in situations of institutional chaos, those who are better organized can be easier to power. In this way, we look with a certain fatalism and even concern that millions of Muslims to rebel against his / our beloved dictators.
not deny that I shared a few days ago that view. The role played by the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt I was expected to end the Iranian. However, when one takes a glance in the mirror are many reasons for optimism. The first society of which we know about democracy, classical Athens, was a highly unequal society in which women were not just paper (outside of the gynoecium) and in which slavery was a normal institution. In the religious belief in a large cemetery and scientific knowledge, to be well advanced on other cultures, there was hardly comparable to the Europe of the Enlightenment. But they invented democracy.
United States at the time of its birth and growth as a country, it was a dysfunctional society, built on the flood of immigrants from diverse backgrounds and cultures and the political game was a thing of very few. And yet, that democracy flourished and overcame the outdated monarchies of Western Europe, to the extent that it now can afford to give free lessons.
Another look back: was the French Revolution "better" than Arab societies today? I do not think so.
I get the impression that our prejudices will not let us look objective phenomena that are living in that part of the world. It is possible that many of the moves we're seeing in this 2011 in the Arab world will eventually die, but others will be successful because, unlike what happened in the past, Earth has erased the gap in communication is concerned and everyone wants to live in an environment that respects their rights, which knows what to expect when they go to trial or in which law enforcement protect him. In that, an Arab Muslim is not too different from a English or an American. And the tests will fail only wood with which, sooner or later, will ignite new uprisings.

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of Lewitt and Dubner

"global cooling, patriotic prostitutes and why suicide bombers should hire a life insurance" . This is the long subtitle of the book, which perfectly meets the expectations aroused by his first Freakonomics. As in the earlier occasion, the theme is the role of incentives in the decisions of human beings. But unlike then, the authors have endeavored to link some other chapters, which sometimes is a good demonstration of the imagination of the two authors.
The main problem, however, it does not add anything about the previous book, if any discussion of altruistic behavior of individuals and the questioning of laboratory experiments around the dictator game and the validity or otherwise of homo economicus . The rest of the book is a series of cases in which the data signal in the opposite direction making it a formal and generally accepted.
Particularly striking is the comparison between the utility of the farms brokers and pimps, leaving the comparison clearly benefit the latter. And perhaps this justifies the whole book, the epilogue entitled "monkeys are people too" , which has research Keith Chen of , teaching capuchin monkeys running the money. The description is basically creepy: the monkeys, they learn to assign monetary value behave in ways familiar to any human being.
In short, if you are passionate about the first part, maybe you should read this second, but if interested you too much or you just like what, this is a second cup of the soup. Obviously, since for this the economy could say I'm a little freak , I enjoyed almost as much as with the first book. And I laughed. And worse, I recognized some of the behaviors described.

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Revolutions, social networks and the price of bread

few days ago I read about the influence of social networks in the outbreak of revolution in the Middle East and North Africa. On one hand I was with commentators who raised the central role of social networks like Twitter and FaceBook in the blasts. On the other hand, was the glut approach main unifying element of these societies and the importance, just as a communication to outside networks.
In this debate, I tell ya, I am inclined to believe that the networks have only been a multiplier. If we speak of a chemical reaction, the Internet would be the catalyst , the compound that accelerates and amplifies the reaction. But I admit that, deep down, there was still something that did not fit: Why now and not before? Why after 30 years of dictatorship? Why not in the 80's? Why not two years ago?
seems clear that once the flame and seen the success (at least at first) of the Revolution Jazmines -parallel to the revolution of the carnations in many things, the repetition of phenomenon was sung. But it remains a puzzle why at this time. If you think about it seriously and knowing how little we know of that world in the West so smug and so Eurocentric, the first thing that stands out is that is not Al Qaeda or some of fundamentalist Muslim movements of protest actors . Was there something we do not count? "Under that layer of prejudices and our fear of Islamic fundamentalism was training a new generation to the image and likeness of ourselves? Could the European leagues are not the only thing that was entering the North African television? Is it true that Internet access was higher than suspected and that most of the population with access did not use for terrorist purposes? It seems now that all these questions were answered in the affirmative.
To all this, today, in the distribution list ECOAGRA Iris Network, someone has pointed out the coincidence of these events with the state of rising food prices and the consequent fear of shortages markets. And then suddenly I saw it all much clearer.
Population growth and distribution effects of poor (or no distribution) of wealth in those countries had for escape the physical flight the country in search opportunities (not to mention the flow of revenues accounted for these emigrants' remittances), or the mental escape through religion and, in extreme cases, the alienation that is the message guerrasantista of terrorist groups. The situation was bad, but it was hopeless. Global economic growth created opportunities for escape in the first dimension and stagnant economic systems could grow even in a situation of expansion.
But now things have changed. Rich neighbors importing and exporting tourists and emigrants remittances have two years of trials, in which the exchange of people and money have been hampered not only by laws, but also by the harsh reality. And in this, food prices climbing back to where they already were in 2009, although in a weaker economic climate.

Source: FAO.org

options no longer pass through the flight, or for waiting to flee the family and friends to help us from outside. And it seems that everyone is thinking of Al Qaeda to join self-immolation in the name of Allah Now prices of basket up at home and the problem must be solved at home, because outsiders are unable to lend a hand. Hence also the riots food shortages increasingly look more clearly the prologue to what has been lived in Tunisia and is living in Egypt.
If you do not have freedom but you eat every day, much of the Internet you have, your desire to protest are mitigated. But together in the same equation as poverty, lack of personal and economic freedom, access to Internet and lack of bread. Do it, and surely will result in just what is happening in the Maghreb and the Near East.