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No more than 15 is back

This is a small entry for announcing regular readers (if that exists) I'm back to revive the blog of the micro-stories. Not more than 15 per day has come to life, perhaps more sluggish than before, but without any pressure or objective quantities (though not deny that I would hope to get to the thousand and one stories.)
Anyway, I hope that interested and even they like someone and that someone in the comments leave me your opinions. You are invited to the reopening of Not more than 15 ...

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do not they will vote

Earlier days reading an article Miguel Angel Blanco in which, under the guise of Pizarro's resignation from his post as director on the Board of Andalusia, and he showed his disbelief in the political career of socialist, dissecting the functioning of political parties in Spain:

"I think politics is run, in many cases but not always, from the servility, flattery and loyalty interested. And why are politicians going up and up and up and thrown almost all his life in public office. And others, as leak personal opinions may be uncomfortable to the established power of the party in power, quickly disappear. In most cases, among those who remain, mediocrity abounds configures the power of the poor, and they, who are feeding on the flattering compliments from others to survive. They can not return to the reality of the street, outside of political events, because his ego is inflated so that they do not accept return to what they were, at the job that they forged in their first steps. "

is a diagnosis which I share. The lists closed, non-transparent mechanisms for the promotion and the human tendency to create patronage networks systematic causes the most talented candidates for blind obedience and flattery to the chief are those who, more likely, come over high. However, we must recognize that this not only happens in games, in most public and private organizations is relatively easy to find individuals (and individuals, that here there is indeed parity) that have reached levels that are above their capabilities. Even he has named this phenomenon, known as the Peter Principle . That said, the company, according to the image you have of their politicians (in the latest barometer of the CIS, government and the political class is the third biggest problem in the country after the strike and problems of economic nature), it is clear that much confidence does not transfer its political class and bet dinner with anyone, most also thought that in the governing parties a sort of inverse screening law, which the less skilled are those who get to govern.
be back here to do a point to mention that most likely has been corruption associated particularly with the recent real estate boom of the main reasons for the loss of credibility of politicians. The continuous downpour of cases that come to the newspapers and the courts are a real prestige bilge pump for this breed. I attached that made Corruptódromo # nolesvotes movement. Given such a map, which is accused of all colors, it is not surprising the public policy directly associated with corruption, and political scoundrels.


View Map of Corruption in Political Parties in a larger map

So much for the merits of our political class. But the really sad thing is that citizens have come to such a level of weariness and disappointment, we do not rebel against the situation and begin to consider it normal for the politicians steal when in power or take advantage of it to grant favors friends and relatives. We have reached the point that political defendants, engaged in complex litigation for corruption, standing for election, and both their parties as voters, will be eligible. And not just they drop their heads in shame or the others were going through your head that a list of defects such as "ineligible" and lists of Batasuna in the Basque Country. Motion # nolesvotes
born connected to the protest by the "Law Sinde, and promotes the denial of voting for parties that supported the Act, namely: PSOE, PP and CiU. However, the very anger of citizens has been added reasons such as the presence of defendants in the lists to the municipal and regional authorities of the major parties, or the refusal of MEPs to travel in tourist travel less than 4 hours.
In the last election calls, my vote was blank, but in the next change my strategy. Non-majority vote for parties that have not disappointed me, and in general vote for the party proposing to change to single-member constituencies, or open lists. Many tell me that the less powerful parties or younger are not prepared, but I prefer at this point an enthusiastic audience that a man twisted tusk. For now, neither PP or PSOE have my confidence. Although I have to admit that it worked freehand.

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A debate on the "Model Almería" in ECOAGRA

in recent days I have been in discussion with Jorge Hernandez Almería purpose of the model through a mailing list espcializada in agricultural economics and natural resources. What follows is the result of cutting and pasting in order messages. For better performance I used colors: red for action by Jorge and green for me.


Sent: Monday, April 4, 2011 12:58
On the so-called Model Almería two points, giving my humble point of view. I say modest because a large part I think their time intervening in what was an intensivist model of horticulture. In this respect I confess that helped much to the Dutch who founded Land of Almeria, my contributions to the horticultural economists Congress 84 years entitled "Influence of water costs in fruit and vegetable production." Since the 77 was one of the first specialists of Spain in localized irrigation, which was derived from the production model of Almeria. But I insist that the irrigation technique is not negative.

The first is news from the Netherlands: Dutch vetoes English vegetables? http://www.gastronomiaycia.com/2011/03/30/holanda-veta-las-hortalizas-espanolas /

remind the audience that a boycott was similar in nature and by Switzerland. And Germany, speaking for three years on the market campaigns horticultural chemical residues. And both times there were claims of patriotism, who deny the internal social criticism in our country, as if to cheer the football team of Spain is involved. In the case of civil rights groups in Switzerland had to hear that they applied the word terrorist. Big mistake that worsened the problem.

second.: It is undeniable that biological control in Almería was buried for years in the hands of certain ccooperativas and field of science that have not made them any attention. Now these people have been rehabilitated and integrated farming has recently extended minus the presence of pesticides and synthetic chemicals. I welcome! But I still see a monoculture model a problem as much standardized varieties and species produced, leading to risk of viruses. For something Biodiversity is encouraged by the United Nations. And agriculture greenhouse forced says production, but limited to standard products with limited health and pleasure with sensual pleasure capital. Solution? There is and ever shall be. Among others, balance scales in favor of a more local and diversify agriculture facilities in order to avoid the absurd CONCENTRATION and social exploitation of the South. Remember what was said to the slaves on farms than the> Wind. Yque las Cortes de Cadiz, which celebrates both Mr. Rajoy, left intact the slavery abolitionist Zaragoza my countrymen were ordered to fight later.

In Spain, many English and English type.! So let us escape from stereotypes and proceed to dialogue rather than wild conversions have not prepared the future.

At 7:41 05.04.2011, David Ucles Aguilera wrote:

Dear George, I'm glad you pointed out. I get the impression by your constant references to named model is not exactly Almería saint of your devotion. But I think that you're not fair to him. Of course it has many faults, but we must recognize some virtue. Before intensive agriculture (I remember it was called so because it was LABOR intensive and capital, not only in capital), or rather, before there was irrigated horticulture in Almería This was the poorest province of Spain (below even the provinces of Galicia and Extremadura), and people migrated en masse (between 1910 and 1981 left the province the equivalent to 95% of the population that was in the Census 1910). In a way, the economic redemption of the province came from the vegetables (as in the past wine grape, or orange or mining, all primary production or extraction with a focus on international markets).

On the other hand, when discussing agrobussines model, there is a very corporate image of agriculture, but the reality that still predominates in the province is the small family farm (the average holding no exceed 2 hectares). This model allowed the benefits were distributed fairly homogeneous population, allowing the emergence of a large agricultural middle classes who are the backbone of the economy provincial. On the other hand, the existence of about 27,000 hectares. (Years ago the area and nocrece) has allowed the development of local business products and services for the agriculture, supplanting more than one occasion, the role of multinationals and allowing the development of a new economic sector. That is, this is a model with some important social benefits.

Since the mid 90's, the generational change in the holdings and the extension of the academic life of future generations was an important process of paid employment in farm work, until that currently supported by over-exploitation of family labor.

The growing demand for labor made it possible for Almeria began to be the gateway for illegal immigration that had the potential to start their European dream on farms , Almeria, which always considered as a way station.

Here there is a complicated vicious circle of resolution. While it is true that in the group of farmers (about 13,000) are unscrupulous, so is that it was sometimes really difficult finding labor "legal" and that once the workers were able to legalize their status fled to other sectors (as were the construction and hospitality) where no other provinces or elsewhere in Europe. Thus the paradox is that more is needed more skilled labor and it is almost impossible to achieve by the departure of experienced workers. Also, like the rest of the agricultural sectors are being pressured by both the demand side (the conditions imposed by the large retailers are equally harsh for cattle, pigs or vegetables), and by the input side (in this case energy, plastics and other petroleum products). That is, the conditions for the labor market tends to be informal, with a very elastic labor supply and demand is very involved from the left side of profitability. Clearly, this behavior does not justify criminal asocial or directly from farmers, but it helps to understand it. One should also note that we spoke of many small farms, not a large company that is most Simple to order and pay for basic needs of their workers. However, the sector has made many efforts to stabilize the workforce, attending home contracts and increasing the number of hectares social certifications.

Regarding the expansion of biological control, not you're right, but we must not forget that most farmers have always met and complied with the rules. And if the biological control has not previously entered in the field of Almeria, it was because he was not paid by the market and because there were no protocols established or appropriate for many local productions. The problem of pepper caused farmers to adopt it widely, but it was possible because by then had already cost effective solutions for the pepper. Even today, for example, there are still some problems with the tomato, and therefore is not equally spread in pepper. The difference with other models is that local companies are investing and developing procedures to meet the growing conditions in the area.

Forgive the length, hope I have not tired and have added some light on the subject. Greetings

From: Forum on agricultural economy and natural resources on behalf of Jorge Hernandez Sent: Tuesday, April 5, 2011 11:34

Mira David.

When you were a kid ... I already played the type, distributing leaflets with the heading of Workers and Peasants Ejido, in defense of the common people since Germany's position to their villages of Almeria. And I supported the memory model called Almeria, in the hands of the Dutch. Because like you, how difficult is the development of drylands. Know that Zaragoza and Almeria are the two driest areas of Spain and I had to go to redeem the Monegros (Some costismo in its centenary year).

But when Tomas Garcia Azcarate and I, among many others who were responsible for the Fruit and Vegetable Market, we went to Roquetas to the Conference of cooperatives in 2003, we saw that or not or we spend. Monoculture of something, always causes imbalances. I like the bars.

As one put it, the other also. And that the banks have had, such as construction, a very large share of responsibility. It is very comfortable repeating patterns and now you are face to the wall and hard. You and the complex system of Almeria.

And frankly we have to achieve this rebalancing, before the model collapses. Something that we should meditate before it happens .... a debacle and would not be surprising to international globalization and the postulates of a new food system. Almería I think I read about interesting things that you could diversify the economy.

(aquaculture, pharmaceutical technology, industrial technology ...). The key is the word DIVERSIFY and be sustainable. And Cajamar vocabulary should make it mandatory.

Thanks for your thoughts and nothing else away from me with hatred Almería, because we are brothers torridez ancient and I love the prickly pear liqueur that makes a fellow of your land. If we want to be with Mexico, Syria and other points ... a research center of agricultural resources in arid areas. Where there is extreme chilli and caper emerge as a border in the desert. So reflect on the saints, devotion and a voice crying in the wilderness ... since in Israel knew that the Dead Sea had become the Sea of \u200b\u200bLife, thanks and potassium salts. It's a matter of research, study and diversify.

Ucles On behalf of David Aguilera Sent: Tuesday, April 5, 2011 11:10

Thanks for calling me young, if a little vain, I have put up red :-) I think We're getting to the meeting points. I've been advocating for some time that one of the virtues of this model is its ability to diversify, so it has been for so long the economic heart of the province. May not have diversified crops, but activities. As I mentioned, many farm incomes have been invested in other sectors, mainly the business of ancillary services to industry and agriculture (ISA). They have also been a lot of brick during the last decade, which is nothing different from what happened in the whole country. As I was saying. These companies started producing for farms in Almeria, but now account for goods and services to many other farms. First-like Almeria, now almost any kind. But is that in a few cases, the company has managed to spill into other sectors, as has happened with the very Cajamar or software companies and machinery. That is, if there is diversification. More than it seems at first glance. And from the standpoint of what you comment, aquaculture has developed in the province from the 90's, with fattening farms bream and bass. Agricultural research in the province has long engaged in several lines: improving the greenhouse structures, reuse of waste, integrated control processes, optimization of plastics, etc. On the other hand, there is a long time for a large number of hectares working with organic farming, which have similar problems to others. It is working with algae of different species, you can see some of the world's most advanced reactor at the experimental station Cajamar Foundation. There are also development experiences of other ranges product, and even a chain of grocery stores owned by the cooperatives. The model is not monolithic, moves and try to adapt.
is true that the system is on the ropes, but I think it is a crisis Almería own model, at least not alone. Globalization is at the core of what happens to agriculture, with farms in Europe. If I hurry is also on the basis of financial and debt crisis in which we operate. System is a general economic crisis. And of systemic crisis may leave having refurbished the entire system (does not appear that this is the case, unfortunately) or giving a few tweaks to last a few years (yes, a forward somersault, or a kick to follow). In the current version of the capitalist system, both industrial processes such as distribution have become "commoditized." The value is incorporated (or is left depends on the ideological narrative that we choose) the design process (although less and less, it also marks the trend toward the channeling of this phase of production) and lower sales. In the food chain that leads to absolute power in the retail industry that is imposing what is sold and how (and under what certifications). It also is cannibalizing the product differentiation by introducing their own family of brands. The consumer who chooses freely is a nice paragraph in the textbook, but is quite far from the current reality.
summarize this long speech: 1. Almería model is neither bad nor good, but quite the opposite. It is a survival strategy that has worked for a long time and I suspect it will work because, 2. The problem is systemic, we are digesting globalization and digestion will be heavy, but as society is not outraged and demand a change, the basic game rules will remain the same.
PS: I've only been working for the Foundation Cajamar since 2008, although I am proud to belong to a cooperative body in the effort, humility and work are part of the founding DNA.
Regards,

On behalf of Jorge Hernandez Sent: Tuesday, April 5, 2011 12:26

On that we completely agree. If the past is not validated by this, is pure pipe dream.

But I do not accept to be taken positions defending the current populist peasantry to defend what has been a blunder of agricultural organizations and especially the financial arrangements to defend development anachronism of the 60's. Populism and was the basis of fascism and is markedly different, defend the peasant, to take him to deal with other farmers in other countries in the interests of local self unworkable in the field of international trade. That's what I call patriotic defense to defend an unrealistic model of balanced and horticulture.

Horto The word derives from the Germanic prefix ort (village), to define agricultural crops near the village. It is unfortunate that fresh local horticulture, biodiversity and quality were lying near an agroindustrial model exclusivity. Now we have to slowly rebuild what ever we had to stop production. Proximity crops, local, fixtures, sustainable, healthy and biodiverse. We ... like the old crop near the village (ort). Again and again repeat that quoted as a paradigm and food in the New York Times, in the City of London or Amsterdam. And I say that something will have to hear that young voice, full of maturity.

O

prefer riding riots and pull tomatoes from Africa to the ground? That's what I did to Perpignan and is today the most active core of the French extreme right, which calls for exclusivity against the appropriate balance that claim. It really hurts to see in my house that I do not like that of others.

Posted on Tuesday 04/05/2011 12:22

longer match your impression of populism, in time some local media was pitting farmers against me because I had dared to say that accommodative positions were choosing instead to apply for grants to continue their proactive attitude. Now do not be surprised if these events occur, are part of the story and provided a collective (rural or not) feel injured what it considers its legitimate rights protest. However, to my knowledge have not been organized gangs of farmers to dump trucks Moroccan Almeria. What it has occurred is that some farmers have crossed the pond from Almeria to produce there, while others have chosen to agree with people there to supplement production and some others are selling products both of Moroccan origin and Almeria. We also comment that I think is no less untenable vegetable production model Almeria Moroccan or Dutch (much more demanding in terms of energy and highly subsidized by the side of the CHP).
On agriculture of proximity, which is actually a model that we lost and it is much more sustainable than today. However, I doubt that we again even in the medium term to the model village, mostly because if the UN does not go astray, since 2007 and there are more people living in cities than in the field, which has serious implications from the standpoint of sustainability. Cities are big black dots in almost all environmental aspects. Moreover, while the incentives of each other is still measured in monetary terms will be very difficult for lower-cost producers do not want to sell higher-priced markets, provided that the endurance and offset the cost of transport. One option would be to ask a strong environmental tax on transport of goods, but I fear who suggested it would be doomed being accused of protectionism and go against the development of disadvantaged peoples.
I see before agriculture aimed at closing their ecological cycles, remain socially and environmentally sustainable development locally and consuming large amounts of energy and resources to reach markets in which will get a meager income, they are very environmentally friendly productions.
Anyway, I do not want to take your voice to the disappointment, I know since you are unavailable to discouragement, but every day I am more convinced that our human nature is the essence of all our events and that this economic system which we have adopted is in the background, most human that we can create.
Greetings (maybe tad laconic)

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agreeing with Darwin

This article is a request from the Journal of Almeria for a special on Agro Expo. I was hard put to it, not only for my current circumstances but also because he was not sure to be completely objective, given my long employment in the Chamber of Commerce of Almeria. In any case, since there is probably no absolute objectivity, I released it, trying to provide a set of reasons for the current situation and possible ways of exit. It is not easy, nor is the best time, but if we save one must move. If we fold our hands end up having an exquisite corpse, exquisite and beautiful, but dead at the end of the day ...


Agro Expo gives reason to Darwin

The essence of the theory of evolution is that species change, sometimes slowly, sometimes quickly, but always looking for ways to adapt the environment in which they develop. There is no purpose in the process, in fact, chance has much to do, and some of the solutions proposed nature are only the result of luck rather than the existence of a divine plan to guide their hand.
In the markets, at least in markets where competition is minimal, agents behave as adaptive entities, seeking their satisfaction within the limits set by that particular ecosystem. In the habitat of our beloved Expo Agro many things have changed in recent years. But there are two events that almost by themselves explain the current state of uncertainty horticultural fair. The first has to do with internationalization (read if you want to globalization) and the particular success of Almeria products in foreign markets. This has meant that the product get its prominence outside of Almeria, where large buyers attending and closed the campaign arrangements. Is, Berlin and Fruitlogistica. But it has also encouraged the emergence of the Madrid fair Fruit Attraction benefiting from the central Madrid and its communication capabilities both abroad and with the rest of Spain.
In this habitat, as we have been counting, Agro Expo has very little to do. In biological terms we would say that the ecological niche of the fair has been colonized by other species better adapted to the new global environment.
The second factor that has contributed to the decline of the business meeting has been increased competition in the market for products and services to the farmer, so that developments can no longer wait for the Expo presentation. Almeria engulfs the field developments as they occur, especially if they relate to improving productivity or reducing production costs. Therefore, it is no longer needed an annual event in which the present developments of the campaign, losing its potential as a meeting place Roquetas de Mar launching innovations.
Returning to the metaphor of evolution, the ecological niche of the fair Almeria has been greatly reduced. And to make matters worse, competition in Madrid set an appointment too close to the Almeria, forcing the latter to relocate again in the calendar.
Does this mean the end of Agro Expo? Not necessarily. Unlike natural evolution in markets is not necessary to wait the course of generations and the advent of a random mutation that give us an evolutionary advantage. In markets, the decisions are mutagenic element. And they can take a few hours. Agro Expo is an exhibition, which means it is a meeting point between buyers and sellers. We have the advantage that very few kilometers concentrate enormous power production and a growing cluster of related activities. Therefore, the raw material is available. We must be able to mobilize one another so that they are in the fair and close trade agreements. It is therefore quite logical that the industry sector and ancillary services from agriculture to become the heart of the meeting, over the product itself as it has other more efficient windows that appear. Should also be a landmark for professional agricultural advice and a must for farmers. It could even be a window (as it is for many years) of the entire production system.
In my view (mine) Expo Agro must re-focus on the local market of goods and services for greenhouse agriculture, opening up to market trends (organic and biological control) to encourage the exchange of knowledge between experts the system and not showcasing both products, but the production model (I repeat, the product has better window displays shown).

Agro Expo is facing one of its worst moments, with a general economic crisis, with its niche colonized and the institution that the organization (the Chamber of Commerce) wounded almost to death. It will not be easy, and it will require the participation of other institutions to relaunch it (maybe it's time for a fair institution), but being as the daughter of this field, I doubt they know to adapt to circumstances and again become the meeting point was.

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The financial tsunami impacts Spain

The terrible earthquake which we have raised today, and the consequences resulting tsunami is causing throughout the Pacific, moving away from economic news today some very important and that, surely, again alter the picture English financial. Yesterday, the Bank of Spain issued the list of entities compliant (and do not meet) the requirements of core capital established by the Government. In fact there have been many surprises, because in recent months we have been going to the reconfiguration of the system, especially in its aspect of the savings.
The relative newness comes from the imperative of the time for finding solutions. Since the publication of the list non-compliant entities have 15 working days to the issuing bank to explain its strategy and time where they think meet the requirements. And all this with the horizon in the resolution since Sept. 30, when they would have to be all of the general goal of 8% or 10% for entities that meet the following conditions: a) they have a wholesale funding ratio exceeds 20% and b) that are not distributed to third title to its capital by at ; least 20%.

entities with capital requirements mandated by differences in percentage points.
Source: Bank of Spain.

Basically, the target of 10% will go to savings, which are the only system that does not have securities representing the capital. The output is very difficult for these boxes, much as some of them are clustered around several SIP, as it will be forced to become banks to issue securities above 20% of the nominal capital and thus lower capital requirements to 8%. However, as the current conditions, ensuring the entry of investors in a English banks that have failed the exam and (obviemente) English to be involved in country risk that the market assigns to us, it will be a very complex task, for not impossible, unless they come with a significant negative premium. That is, with a purchase price of the securities at bargain prices. Ie very possibly some of the boxes will be fertile ground for the entry of large hedge funds, which will solve the problem in the short, but complicate the relationship "social" entities in the medium and long term.
The expected outcome of this operation is to strengthen the financial system entities to concentrate, increasing the average size of the boxes (instead of banks) and facilitate the delivery of credit to businesses. Tip, the forced conversion of many boxes in banks will mean reduced funding for social work, most of it for the welfare, thus generating a large hole in the national mattress relief situations of social exclusion and marginalization. That is, it is very likely that the welfare work of the boxes is reduced or eliminated.
Finally, it's pretty funny overall compliance with credit unions, which have become the most fragmented system. Therefore, the strategy that the Bank of Spain is following with them to achieve increased scale and reducing the number of entities is different, emphasizing the need for concentration to facilitate access to wholesale markets and to ensure the solvency of their long-term. It is also clear that the pace of concentration of non-being fast enough compared with that of the savings banks (60 rural banks by 16 savings banks), so do not be surprised much more aggressive attitude by the regulator in the coming months.

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The coup de grace to the chambers of commerce in 2011

Photo: http://almeria-confidencial.blogspot.com

Go ahead, possibly in this area I would not be as I like neutral. I've spent almost 15 years of my life (in two different periods) working in the Chamber of Commerce of Almeria from which I was director of service training first, and the research service in the longest phase of my presence there, between 1998 and 2008. But I think it is fair to ask an obvious question: the decree of December 2010, which was part of the second package of measures against the crisis is a shot in the middle of the eyes of the cameras, a summary execution in which there has been no trial, or last confession and no possibility of appeal.

Actually, I do not doubt that the government's intentions are good and I really think this way makes life easier for businesses. Do not go into disquisitions or numbers in a showing that companies are paying all or most pay ridiculous amounts. Nor do I come to assess whether the cameras have done their job (that they had determined by law). I will not even consider the stupidity of these corporations or not when simply to garner sympathy or respect for the boundaries of their respective companies.
What I want to show here is the way in which they have committed their summary execution. The overnight and without warning. Had not been on much as they leave a minimum margin to regroup, rethink or even liquidation. Would not only result in that decree ends clarify the ownership of the assets of the cameras in case of dissolution, or the situation in which officials would be cameras, a rara avis , which however is still flying, because there are few.

Instead it was decided to cut the roots out the source of funding for the cameras: Camerale quotas that had previously been certified with the law of 1993 (which replaced the very seasoned and unconstitutional law chambers, 1911) . Thus denied any room. The newly elected full, which today no longer represent anyone (or almost nobody, only companies that expressly show their willingness to belong), have the ballot to make their structures or liquidate profitable corporations, if It is possible, given the curious nature of private entities of public law. It is clear that some will survive, especially those who have managed to monetize their services, those who have been able to get a market price of the services provided to their constituents: the organization of trade fairs and conferences, information services, commercial, foreign trade consultancy and training. These two chapters also regulated by law but others (almost certainly all small) end up disappearing, their assets liquidated to pay compensation to their workers or in the hands of government tutelantes.

In any case, the measure is surprisingly inconsistent, because I was supposed to do the same with professional bodies, some much less useful than the cameras themselves, which, however, there are compulsory licensing and to exercise certain professions ( In fact, membership is a prerequisite for obtaining high activity in the Treasury). It also would have been consistent with the average of the cameras and the Directive on the liberalization of services would end the monopoly regulated pharmacies, or the tight fiscal monopoly. Why some and not others?

Finally and in summary: chambers of commerce have earned other end than this one. Thanks to them, many companies have entered international markets, thanks to them, many companies have trained their workers and cadres, because they have met the economic realities of many provinces, and there have been heard through the voices of their surveys companies. Thanks to them, many laws have improved, and through them have made some progress on infrastructure. Rest in peace
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For the third year, although quite late, I propose the exercise of sleight mental is to guess some words that will set the course for the year and nearly two months ago began. First of all, I would note that Movilnet was talking about past years and has trade name, is called tablet and has been Apple who has redesigned the concept with iPad (a hit beyond of the company's own forecasts.) The forecast of the demise of the book take to get there, but less than I expected it, as the pace of selling ebooks has accelerated dramatically over 2010, being expected that the impact on the sale of books paper begins to be felt throughout 2011. And if publishers do not go around risk agile camp on the same mistake as the music publishers, overcome by a technology in which the absence of a solvent supply and cost, it always appears lawless and free bidding.
correct also in the use of weak string of words (or weak) recovery as the economy is concerned.
In view of this 2011, I really do not see it as clear as in previous years. I think we will hear many times the word failure associated with Sinde Act. When the legal market does not conform to the requirements of the application, I get a black market that solves it. And on the Internet, the emergence of these markets is much simpler than the old analog world. It is surprising that the less successful business models like iTunes or Netflix Spotify have not resulted in a change of opinion in the English content companies and the mafia and obsolete rights management entities. It is clear that we will hear much about these issues.
in 2010 exploited the social networks, specifically Facebook and Twitter. And it became clear that not all social work. Quran is the example. End up failing before the rest. Offers nothing that can not be obtained in more traditional networks, on Wikipedia or search engines themselves, and instead requires a minimum critical mass experts to respond to questions with a minimum quality and clarity.
The explosion of broadband services to target mobile terminals (mainly smartphones) has begun to unleash a threat of war between phone operators and content providers for those services, like Apple, Google or Yahoo. Possibly, after the first skirmishes do not get blood to the river, as this mighty river is coming down to fish and all little enough to agree. A lack of affordable
disruptors on the horizon, I think the news will reach the hands of the elements we already have at home. I turned on the television center communications from home, or the computers turned into television occupying the room of the house and with dumb terminals in the other rooms. Another possible receptor
revolutions are new consoles. Nintendo has given out a career in 3D, surely the rest of the competitors will follow in 3D TVs Park reaches a minimum size.
In the area of \u200b\u200bthe English economy, the predicted words are the words "new business" and, again, stop, end of the year but is likely to begin the latter for employment (although this is more a wish a prediction).

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Words Can you prejudice? Superfreakonomics

Photo taken from The Country

In these days when the Arab world goes deep in a revolution contagious, I have read and heard many comments that warned of the danger of a return nut to radical Islam. The explanation would be given to an inability of Arab societies, underdeveloped and dysfunctional to result in true democracies. In addition, we take for logical that in situations of institutional chaos, those who are better organized can be easier to power. In this way, we look with a certain fatalism and even concern that millions of Muslims to rebel against his / our beloved dictators.
not deny that I shared a few days ago that view. The role played by the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt I was expected to end the Iranian. However, when one takes a glance in the mirror are many reasons for optimism. The first society of which we know about democracy, classical Athens, was a highly unequal society in which women were not just paper (outside of the gynoecium) and in which slavery was a normal institution. In the religious belief in a large cemetery and scientific knowledge, to be well advanced on other cultures, there was hardly comparable to the Europe of the Enlightenment. But they invented democracy.
United States at the time of its birth and growth as a country, it was a dysfunctional society, built on the flood of immigrants from diverse backgrounds and cultures and the political game was a thing of very few. And yet, that democracy flourished and overcame the outdated monarchies of Western Europe, to the extent that it now can afford to give free lessons.
Another look back: was the French Revolution "better" than Arab societies today? I do not think so.
I get the impression that our prejudices will not let us look objective phenomena that are living in that part of the world. It is possible that many of the moves we're seeing in this 2011 in the Arab world will eventually die, but others will be successful because, unlike what happened in the past, Earth has erased the gap in communication is concerned and everyone wants to live in an environment that respects their rights, which knows what to expect when they go to trial or in which law enforcement protect him. In that, an Arab Muslim is not too different from a English or an American. And the tests will fail only wood with which, sooner or later, will ignite new uprisings.

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of Lewitt and Dubner

"global cooling, patriotic prostitutes and why suicide bombers should hire a life insurance" . This is the long subtitle of the book, which perfectly meets the expectations aroused by his first Freakonomics. As in the earlier occasion, the theme is the role of incentives in the decisions of human beings. But unlike then, the authors have endeavored to link some other chapters, which sometimes is a good demonstration of the imagination of the two authors.
The main problem, however, it does not add anything about the previous book, if any discussion of altruistic behavior of individuals and the questioning of laboratory experiments around the dictator game and the validity or otherwise of homo economicus . The rest of the book is a series of cases in which the data signal in the opposite direction making it a formal and generally accepted.
Particularly striking is the comparison between the utility of the farms brokers and pimps, leaving the comparison clearly benefit the latter. And perhaps this justifies the whole book, the epilogue entitled "monkeys are people too" , which has research Keith Chen of , teaching capuchin monkeys running the money. The description is basically creepy: the monkeys, they learn to assign monetary value behave in ways familiar to any human being.
In short, if you are passionate about the first part, maybe you should read this second, but if interested you too much or you just like what, this is a second cup of the soup. Obviously, since for this the economy could say I'm a little freak , I enjoyed almost as much as with the first book. And I laughed. And worse, I recognized some of the behaviors described.

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Fotos De La Ss Silverado 2010

The legacy of the crisis: the challenge of employment

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Revolutions, social networks and the price of bread

few days ago I read about the influence of social networks in the outbreak of revolution in the Middle East and North Africa. On one hand I was with commentators who raised the central role of social networks like Twitter and FaceBook in the blasts. On the other hand, was the glut approach main unifying element of these societies and the importance, just as a communication to outside networks.
In this debate, I tell ya, I am inclined to believe that the networks have only been a multiplier. If we speak of a chemical reaction, the Internet would be the catalyst , the compound that accelerates and amplifies the reaction. But I admit that, deep down, there was still something that did not fit: Why now and not before? Why after 30 years of dictatorship? Why not in the 80's? Why not two years ago?
seems clear that once the flame and seen the success (at least at first) of the Revolution Jazmines -parallel to the revolution of the carnations in many things, the repetition of phenomenon was sung. But it remains a puzzle why at this time. If you think about it seriously and knowing how little we know of that world in the West so smug and so Eurocentric, the first thing that stands out is that is not Al Qaeda or some of fundamentalist Muslim movements of protest actors . Was there something we do not count? "Under that layer of prejudices and our fear of Islamic fundamentalism was training a new generation to the image and likeness of ourselves? Could the European leagues are not the only thing that was entering the North African television? Is it true that Internet access was higher than suspected and that most of the population with access did not use for terrorist purposes? It seems now that all these questions were answered in the affirmative.
To all this, today, in the distribution list ECOAGRA Iris Network, someone has pointed out the coincidence of these events with the state of rising food prices and the consequent fear of shortages markets. And then suddenly I saw it all much clearer.
Population growth and distribution effects of poor (or no distribution) of wealth in those countries had for escape the physical flight the country in search opportunities (not to mention the flow of revenues accounted for these emigrants' remittances), or the mental escape through religion and, in extreme cases, the alienation that is the message guerrasantista of terrorist groups. The situation was bad, but it was hopeless. Global economic growth created opportunities for escape in the first dimension and stagnant economic systems could grow even in a situation of expansion.
But now things have changed. Rich neighbors importing and exporting tourists and emigrants remittances have two years of trials, in which the exchange of people and money have been hampered not only by laws, but also by the harsh reality. And in this, food prices climbing back to where they already were in 2009, although in a weaker economic climate.

Source: FAO.org

options no longer pass through the flight, or for waiting to flee the family and friends to help us from outside. And it seems that everyone is thinking of Al Qaeda to join self-immolation in the name of Allah Now prices of basket up at home and the problem must be solved at home, because outsiders are unable to lend a hand. Hence also the riots food shortages increasingly look more clearly the prologue to what has been lived in Tunisia and is living in Egypt.
If you do not have freedom but you eat every day, much of the Internet you have, your desire to protest are mitigated. But together in the same equation as poverty, lack of personal and economic freedom, access to Internet and lack of bread. Do it, and surely will result in just what is happening in the Maghreb and the Near East.

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productivity, competitiveness and unemployment

was once a very poor country, at least poorer than most of those around him. Over time, this country went abroad and opening new and little by little, it became as rich as others. However, at any given time, its citizens became a little crazier than the rest of the world. Believed they could succeed in reducing the scourge of unemployment everlasting based tiling most of its territory.
The thing is that for too long, this madness seemed possible and this country, who had been a source of emigrants for much of the twentieth century, became the overnight, one of the most presence of foreigners in its territory. Thanks to those foreigners, raising GDP and growing Social Security and unemployment came to be below that of more powerful neighbor of all. The reality was so good that it seemed like a dream.
But the trouble with dreams is that, sooner or later end. And often abruptly. Suddenly, someone discovered that the king was naked and that the international financial system had been feasting on garbage disguised as structured assets. Digestion of the great binge of crap would drive, but also lead to greater distrust of other assets and the drying up of capital markets over a long season. And there was this rich country than previously thought and issue its mortgage bonds to finance its own bubble of bricks. And, as the national savings could not cope, had resorted massively to these same markets were now empty. And that nobody wanted to happen happened: the ball over because the player was left without light, catching the vast majority spinning out of control. No one was buying houses, no one gave credit to buy and prices began to fall, mortgage guarantees devaluing and hitting the solvency of the entire economy. Many
so rare in this country began to think that the sky had fallen on them, or something worse than all the biblical plagues was happening. In just a couple of years, the once proud unemployment rate has doubled and destroyed and a half million jobs work. All were now problem: if lack of savings, if lack of credit, if lack of competitiveness ...
But something bubbling beneath all those layers of bad news and gloom. To begin with, since the brunt of the crisis had brought the construction industry, characterized by grades of manpower needs and a relatively low productivity of the same, was also the first to begin active drive. Thus, the American economy began to retrace the path taken in previous years, in which the productivity of workers fell gradually, if, when we thought the future was to continue building. Suddenly, in just 1 year this country that no one said anything positive regained their levels of productivity at the expense, yes, to leave in the gutter to an incredible number of workers.

development in productivity per job. EU27 = 100

still not get credit or, if he did, was more expensive. People thought that the country had no political solution and were busy organizing strategies for the general election approaching. His earlier optimistic (and unrealistic) president, now sacrificed for his country and his party, giving to the demands of markets with which he was uncomfortable, but he could not do without. The opposition simply got carried away: the great wave of the crisis tumbaría the government without causing them any wear. In other words, the perfect cocktail to keep anything good happen.

But the thing is that, despite rising unemployment, deflation of assets Property for sale and mortgage guarantees, also despite the credit crunch, millions of people were getting up every day, going to work and efforts to continue moving forward. Is it because it is true that the need for the mother of invention, it is because, in the background, there were still people who hoped to emerge from the crisis. Will tell that story and someone in a few years. The truth is that the economy, which had suffered such a brutal adjustment in employment, managed to emerge from recession, and little by little, she was correcting some of its imbalances. One country where no one trusted, suddenly found himself with less debt some of its large neighbors , less deficit, and where to look you with increased productivity that they and any of the countries considered the most productive world.

Eurostat data

Obviously this does not guarantee the start of the crisis. Should be put into play some other virtues. But in hindsight it was still a good foundation on which to continue building this country in this story. Nor should we forget the millions of unemployed had fallen by the wayside and which would have great difficulty in finding a new job, as it was not likely to return to sustain growth in a sector with low productivity. That would be, above all else, the great challenge for the future of the country.

What today may seem black and impossible, tomorrow can be seen from another perspective, especially when viewed from a GDP of new growing ...

and red bunting, this story is over.

UPDATE: Germany will offer employment to qualified unemployed in Spain and Portugal

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Celtic's dream of Vargas Llosa

Vargas Llosa has been since Pantoja and the authors of one of my header. I admit, even though they do not share their political ideas as a writer has a prominent place. In fact, for my part of the great American trio, along with Borges and García Márquez. Go ahead, therefore, I think it's well deserved Nobel prize recently obtained. This is an award that is usually granted to authors usually extensive tour (and precisely why, at the end of his career). However, if it was just this novel, I would not have given it.
To begin with, rather than a fiction novel is a fictionalized biography. Roger Casement is a real character, which thanks to its report to the British Foreign Office contributed to the collapse of the savage colonial system that prevailed both in the Belgian Congo, as in the Putumayo Amazon. In both cases, human savagery reached genocidal extremes in both cases the engine was fueled by greed rubber. Casement, sent in both cases by the British authorities, gathered detailed information and evidence of all kinds to show the degree of savagery reached by supposedly civilized Europeans. Thanks to the work he was promoted to British gentleman.
However, in the back of his complex personality, was a committed Irish nationalist, to the point that negotiated with the Kaiser's Germany an alliance to achieve independence for Ireland. Much of their earnings went to the coffers of the independence movements and their recent efforts were devoted to the Irish cause, which ended up dying (this is the beginning of the novel, so do not remove anything).
Llosa's portrait is excellent, the parts where he narrates his experiences in the Congo and the Putumayo best for my taste, the book. However, the narrative loses bellows towards the end, so that reading becomes a bit heavy. On the other hand, when it comes to shaping the complex personality of man, Llosa chooses an intermediate term in regard to homosexuality. It seems that does not fit the same man who showed such sensitivity to the suffering of others, was able to perform those scenes supposedly appeared excessive in their journals. This, in my view, it is inconsistent with the rest of the profile you describe.
Anyway, I think it's a good novel, but not the best Llosa, even at the height of the previous, so I shall wait for the next to get excited, or revisit some of the old and rediscovered in its best moments.

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Future Imperfect Tell me somethin nice

article I asked the new specialized journal: If

Agriculture

Again the raw material prices have begun to rise. Oil is walking in the vicinity of $ 100 a barrel and with him up the bulk of related products, such as cereals (linked to oil not only for the transport process, but also for the production of biofuels .) Again organizations prevent us from international risk and no famine resulting from drought, but food shortages in the markets for human consumption. Almeria
The farmer who reads this will be puzzled: What rising food prices? And where is that? It is hard to understand where their products are 20 years lose value and are forced to increase their productivity to remain on the market. And that increased demand for our vegetables has been more than offset by growth in supply, putting downward pressure on prices. In this context, the retail has become steadily larger, and may create conditions more favorable purchase and giving a new twist to the producers.
The answers are simple and intuitive than it sounds. Our productions, paradoxically, are of great price, and maintain a high income elasticity. That is, the consumer requires a minimum income and, in turn, involve income increases consumption growth. This is good news, but it also implies a certain limitation on the size of our consumer market. And it also implies a clear interest of all producers to sell into markets with higher purchasing power. And Europe is one of the largest in the world. Another advantage
-problem for vegetable productions is that they are perishable, implying that the transport times and conditions directly influence the quality (and price) of products. This limits the geographic scope of our exports and provides a physical limit to them which could only be saved with a significant innovation in the conservation of these products. Although, even then, the limit would remain, because this innovation will certainly be available for all areas.
So with this situation, what can we do? The first is to view agriculture not as a separate sector but as a part of the food system as a central element of an entire production system. This approach would allow us to visualize the problem from different perspectives. For example, entry into markets of third party products are threats to primary production but also an opportunity for industry and agriculture support services (ISA), including inputs and produce structural elements, or carriers and marketing. These entries also represent an incentive to improve local production structures and in the sense that we demand more quality, more and more health market.
The future is not easy, sure to be very complicated, but if we compare the situation of agriculture to Almeria from other countries, including those that make us competitive for less time, we consider that we are still better off. Not only do we still have considerable room for improvement in primary production itself, but also there are great opportunities within the entire European food system and the ISA Almeria.

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Request to publish Journal of Almeria in Sunday supplement innovation. As always, it has turned a tad long. I hope to criticism (constructive).

Can one be optimistic in Spain in the times? It is possible that most readers of this article think not, but I have made a firm promise to find reasons to be. Do not know about you, but I'm tired of this talk of crisis and bad news regarding the economy. And the funny thing is, we just have a look at the data carefully, the truth is that there are.
The chances sometimes lend the existence of opportunities for surprise. When you write these letters after reading the job of journalist friend, does not 30 hours of my speech as a lecturer in a training program. The purpose of my presence in the program was to provide an overview of macroeconomic expectations are drawn on the horizon of this 2011 that we have just begun to live. In my second ball transparency appears glass, with the idea of \u200b\u200breinforcing the image that these estimates of speaking could be turned into mere speculations due to the large number of uncertainties that are subject both the global and the national economy. Well, in his message, Diario de Almería I order an item "type crystal ball, but more basic. Given these caveats
previous step of the way the Witch Lola " and talk about the future. As I mentioned, the uncertainties that hang over the year 2011 are enormous. What is the probability that Spain has to resort to an IMF bailout? According to most economists, between myself included, walking. But enough that a significant number of players in the international debt market is created, to become a reality. A reality that is the worst case scenario, as the euro itself would be heavily hit, setting the stage for a new recession in Europe. But there's more: what would happen if China stopped to sue U.S. government debt? What if Brazil carried out its threat of trade war over the issue of currency? Would it be unreasonable to think of a Middle East on fire because of the frozen conflicts in the area? And in Spain, what impact will the expected change in cycle policy after municipal and regional? "Support a relative social peace if unemployment rates remain high for long? Well, thank goodness
wanted to be optimistic, you say, if he has not given a depression in the middle of the previous paragraph and stopped reading. Let us look at the positive data, to see if we pass the wrong body. First, the country's GDP is three quarters in growth zone and the first estimates for the 4 th quarter of 2010 are positive. Moreover, in recent months, most estimates of the GDP of Spain in 2010 and 2011 have been upward revisions. I know that growth will be little, but will growth. Furthermore, although unemployment continues to rise which tends, at rates that do are dwindling and it is quite possible that in 2011 we see positive data, in this area. Eye will not try to big declines in the unemployment rate, although the completion of the destruction process and a timid beginning of creation. From the supply side, industry and services will command our economy, given that budgetary efforts will cut the drag much of the public sector in the coming years.
At the provincial level, things do not go astray, although that is some delay with respect to the performance of the economy national. For example, if the labor market, looking at the trend-cycle series of registered unemployment and affiliations, we can see that the adjustment process can not yet completed. But it is clear that throughout 2010 the trend turned around and now the rising unemployment rates are substantially lower than a year ago, while the decrease in membership are much smaller. That is, by maintaining the inertia, we would be returning to net job creation over 2011. Here I reiterate the determination made on a national level: it is unlikely that job creation is substantial. The basic problem for job creation here and nationally, is unlikely to allow firms to increase their workforces while grow their production. Domestic demand is awakening, but the first sections of this new demand can be perfectly covered with the facilities and the current templates as most of them are oversized after the collapse in demand during 2008 and 2009. In addition, the process of job destruction has led to a substantial increase in productivity, which implies that, on average, companies need fewer people now than two years ago to enter more in their accounts.

The main problem we face for the coming years is how to significantly reduce unemployment rates we have achieved once the situation stabilizes. On the one hand, construction and marble seem to be outside bets for the moment, the terrible crisis that are both not allowed to accumulate too much hope on them in the short term. On the other hand, it seems that agriculture in the province is undergoing a restrengthening in terms of human and technological capital. Although historical trends point to a deterioration of unit prices, the production system as a whole has begun to take measures that appear headed in the right direction. Also, the government's own attitudes and entrepreneurs / farmers for the sector and its future are also changing. However, it is likely that the segment producer living a restructuring process that you can not act as a lever for job growth, although GDP.
Finally, tourism seems to have completed the process of adjusting to the new world of internet booking and low cost. The structures have been lightened and the range of accommodation has been adapted to the concepts of low-cost all-inclusive. At the same time, tourism demand has begun to revive, what is sure to help the sector positive close in 2011 after several years of drought. However, the fees for which the hotel was guided in past decades are no longer current, and the ability to create jobs for the same has been reduced to mechanize much of the management processes and have adjusted cost accounts. However, at the height of his campaign, in 2011 tourism will have a compensating effect on the temporary job destruction in agriculture, without the short term may become the major manufacturer of employment that this province needs.

Recently, some have focused the discussion on provincial economic engine in residential tourism and health services and personal attention. I hate to disagree with them. The bulk of employment generated by tourism is related to residential construction process, and if you take a look at the housing statistics in recent years, which can not but realize that the province has accumulated a surplus that is going residential to cost a few years to assimilate. Therefore, even if it is true that Almería is still an attractive destination for residential tourism is not likely to generate increased demand for construction and in any case, its effects on local markets for personal services will be closely associated with the degree of concentration of new populations of part-time residents.
What remains then? Possibly, this is the boldest response to this article. There remains the obvious, the ancillary industry of agriculture and its productive muscle, sustained by the large local market and able to undertake foreign adventures. And we have the unexpected, which may not be able to imagine even today. Economies are dynamic because the people are imbued with this dynamism. People are the protagonists of the economy, much as we like to think that they are the markets or states. Creativity, the ability to exploit new opportunities arising in the market, is partly a personal attitude that becomes social when most members understand that the same is a positive value. I think in Almeria can be reasonably optimistic about this, because our current development is based on just that, creativity and making a virtue of necessity. There may be new growth engines, linked to energy, technology and water treatment, or social networks. What I do not doubt is that the talent build our youth will find a way by which come to light.